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Missing Titanic Sub: What Could Have Gone Wrong?

2023-06-25 08:06:52
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The following essay is reprinted with permission from The Conversation, an online publication covering the latest research.

An extensive search and rescue operation is underway to locate a commercial submersible that went missing during a dive to the Titanic shipwreck.

According to the US Coast Guard, contact with the submersible was lost about one hour and 45 minutes into the dive, with five people onboard. The vessel was reported overdue at 9.13pm local time on Sunday (12.13pm AEST, Monday).

The expedition was being run by US company OceanGate as part of an eight-day trip with guests paying US$250,000 per head to visit the wreck site. As of Monday afternoon (Tuesday morning in Australia), US Coast Guard Rear Admiral John Mauger said the watercraft likely had somewhere between 70 and the full 96 hours of oxygen available to the passengers.

The Titanic’s wreck sits some 3,800 metres deep in the Atlantic, about 700km south of St John’s, Newfoundland. Finding an underwater vehicle the size of a small bus in this vast and remote expanse of ocean will be no small feat. Here’s what the search and rescue teams are up against.

OceanGate’s Titan submersible goes missing

Submersibles are manned watercraft that move in a similar fashion to submarines, but within a much more limited range. They’re often used for research and exploration purposes, including to search for shipwrecks and to document underwater environments. Unlike submarines, they usually have a viewport to allow passengers look outside, and outside cameras that provide a broader view around the submersible.

The missing submersible in question is an OceanGate Titan watercraft, which can take five people to depths of up to 4,000m. The Titan is about 22 feet in length, with speeds of about 3 knots, or 5.5km per hour. Although submersibles are often connected to a surface vessel by a tether, video and photos suggest the Titan was likely operating independently of the surface ship.

According to OceanGate’s website, the Titan is used “for site survey and inspection, research and data collection, film and media production, and deep-sea testing of hardware and software”.

It also has a “real-time hull health monitoring (RTM) system”. This would likely include strain gauges to monitor the health of the Titan’s carbon fibre hull. A strain gauge is a kind of sensor that can measure applied force and small deformations in material resulting from changes in pressure, tension and weight.

The Titan’s carbon fibre hull connects two domes made of composite titanium – a material that can withstand deep-sea pressures. At 3,800m below sea level (the depth of the Titanic) you can expect pressures about 380 times greater than the atmospheric pressure we’re used to on the surface of the earth.

The OceanGate submersible “Titan” near its underwater launch platform. Credit: American Photo Archive/Alamy Stock Photo

Communication and rescue efforts

The Titan would have had an acoustic link with its surface vessel, set up through a transponder (a device for receiving a sonar signal) on its end, and a transceiver (a device that can both transmit and receive communications) on the surface vessel.

This link allows for underwater acoustic positioning, as well as for short text messages to be sent back and forth to the surface vessel – but the amount of data that can be shared is limited and usually includes basic telemetry and status information.

The Titan is a battery-operated watercraft. Given it has lost all contact with its surface vessel, it may have suffered a power failure. Ideally, there would be an emergency backup power source (such as an independent battery) to maintain emergency and life support equipment – but it’s unclear if the missing vessel had any power backup on hand.

According to reports, at least two aircraft, a submarine and sonar buoys were being used to search for the vessel. The sonar buoys will be listening for underwater noise, including any emergency distress beacons that may have gone off.

One of the major challenges in the rescue effort will be contending with weather conditions, which will further shrink an already narrow search window.

What might have happened?

In a best case scenario, the Titan may have lost power and will have an inbuilt safety system that will help it return to the surface. For instance, it may be equipped with additional weights that can be dropped to instantly increase its buoyancy and bring it back to the surface.

Alternatively, the vessel may have lost power and ended up at the bottom of the ocean. This would be a more problematic outcome.

The worst case scenario is that it has suffered a catastrophic failure to its pressure housing. Although the Titan’s composite hull is built to withstand intense deep-sea pressures, any defect in its shape or build could compromise its integrity – in which case there’s a risk of implosion.

Another possibility is that there may have been a fire onboard, such as from an electrical short circuit. This could compromise the vehicle’s electronic systems which are used for navigation and control of the vessel. Fires are a disastrous event in enclosed underwater environments, and can potentially incapacitate the crew and passengers.

Time is of the essence. The search and rescue teams will need to find the vessel before its limited supplies of oxygen and water run out.

There’s an ongoing debate in scientific circles regarding the relative merit of manned submersibles, wherein each deployment incurs a safety risk – and the safety of the crew and passengers is paramount.

Currently, most underwater research and offshore industrial work is conducted using unmanned and robotic vehicles. A loss to one of these vehicles might compromise the work being done, but at least lives aren’t at stake. In light of these events, there will likely be intense discussion about the risks associated with using these systems to support deep-sea tourism.

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

参考译文
失踪的泰坦尼克号潜艇:究竟出了什么问题?
以下文章经授权转载自The Conversation,这是一家在线出版物,报道最新的研究成果。目前正展开广泛搜救行动,寻找一艘在前往泰坦尼克号沉船潜航途中失踪的商用潜水器。美国海岸警卫队称,潜水器在下潜约1小时45分钟后与外界失去联系,当时船上共有5人。据报,潜水器在当地时间周日晚上9点13分(澳大利亚周一上午12点13分)被确认延误。此次探险活动由美国公司OceanGate组织,作为为期八天的旅程的一部分,每位游客支付25万美元费用参观沉船地点。截至周一(澳大利亚周二)下午,美国海岸警卫队少将约翰·马格尔(John Mauger)表示,潜水器上可能还有70至96小时的氧气供应。泰坦尼克号的残骸位于大西洋中,距离纽芬兰圣约翰市以南约700公里的区域,深约3800米。在如此广阔而偏远的海域,要找到这样一个大小相当于一辆小型巴士的水下设备并非易事。以下就是搜救队所面临的挑战。### OceanGate的“泰坦”潜水器失踪潜水器是一种类似于潜艇的人控水下装置,但其活动范围更为有限。它们常用于研究和勘探工作,包括寻找沉船和记录水下环境。与潜艇不同的是,潜水器通常设有观察窗,允许乘客看到外部,同时配备外部摄像头,提供更广阔的视野。失踪的潜水器是一艘OceanGate的泰坦号,可搭载5人,下潜深度可达4000米。泰坦号长22英尺(约6.7米),速度约为3节(约5.5公里/小时)。虽然潜水器通常通过缆绳与水面船只连接,但根据视频和照片显示,泰坦号很可能是在没有连接水面船的情况下独立运行的。根据OceanGate官网介绍,泰坦号用于“地点调查和检查、研究和数据采集、影视和媒体制作,以及深海的硬件和软件测试”。它还配备了“实时船体健康监测(RTM)系统”,这可能包括应变片,用于监测泰坦号碳纤维船体的健康状况。应变片是一种传感器,能够测量施加的力和由于压力、拉力和重量变化引起材料的微小变形。泰坦号的碳纤维船体连接着由复合钛制成的两个半球形舱室,这种材料可以承受深海的高压。在海面以下3800米的深度,水压约为地球表面大气压的380倍。OceanGate的“泰坦”号潜水器在其水下发射平台附近。图片来源:American Photo Archive/Alamy Stock Photo### 通信与救援工作泰坦号应通过其末端的应答器(一种接收声呐信号的设备)和水面船上的收发器(可同时发送和接收通信的设备)与水面船建立声学联系。这种连接允许进行水下声学定位,以及在水面船之间收发简短的文本消息——但可以共享的数据量是有限的,通常只包括基本的遥测和状态信息。泰坦号是电池驱动的水下设备。鉴于它已完全失去与水面船的联系,可能已发生电力故障。理想情况下,该设备应配备紧急备用电源(如独立电池),以维持紧急和生命支持设备——但目前尚不清楚失踪的潜水器是否配备了任何备用电源。据报道,至少有两架飞机、一艘潜艇和声呐浮标正在用于寻找该潜水器。声呐浮标将聆听水下噪音,包括可能发出的紧急求救信标。救援工作面临的最大挑战之一是天气状况,这将进一步压缩本就狭窄的搜索窗口。### 可能发生了什么?在最佳情况下,泰坦号可能只是失去了电力,并且其内置的安全系统会帮助它返回水面。例如,它可能配备了额外的配重物,可被释放以立即增加浮力并使其返回水面。否则,该潜水器可能已失去动力并沉入海底,这将是一个更加棘手的结果。最坏的情况是其压力舱发生了灾难性故障。尽管泰坦号的复合材料船体设计可承受深海的高压,但其形状或制造上的任何缺陷都可能影响其完整性——在这种情况下,可能发生坍塌。另一种可能性是船上可能发生了火灾,例如由电路短路引起。这将损害用于导航和控制潜水器的电子系统。在封闭的水下环境中,火灾是灾难性的事件,可能会使船员和乘客陷入瘫痪状态。时间就是生命。搜救队必须在氧气和水等有限供应耗尽之前找到这艘潜水器。科学界对载人潜水器的相对优势一直存在持续讨论。每次部署载人潜水器都会带来一定的安全风险,而船员和乘客的安全始终是首要任务。目前,大多数水下研究和海上工业工作都使用无人和机器人设备进行。这些设备的损失可能会使工作受阻,但至少不会危及生命。鉴于目前的情况,很可能会围绕使用这些系统支持深海旅游业所涉及的风险展开激烈讨论。本文最初发表于The Conversation。阅读原始文章。
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