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AI tools could add £400bn to the UK economy by 2030

2023-10-05 07:33:09
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AI tools and automation could contribute £400bn to the UK economy by the start of the next decade. That is the prediction of the UK tech vendor trade body techUK in a new report, which says this will come primarily from boosts to productivity. However, AI success depends on regulatory clarity from the government, the report warns.

TechUK says AI tools will fill in gaps in the workforce as the country gets older (Photo: Stokkete/Shutterstock)
TechUK says AI tools will fill in gaps in the workforce as the country gets older. (Photo by Stokkete/Shutterstock)

TechUK’s report, entitled Making AI Work for Britain, says that as a result of the transformative power of AI, the workplace of tomorrow will be very different to that of today, arguing there is a need to prepare for the “challenges and opportunities of the AI-powered era”. The authors set nine steps to achieve that goal and ensure the country is ready.

The UK is already a leader in AI with many of the top labs having a base or office in the country including Google’s DeepMind, Anthropic and ChatGPT-maker OpenAI. The country is also trying to cement its position as a leader in legislation through the upcoming Bletchley AI Safety Summit in November.

Generative AI, such as the technology behind ChatGPT and image-generation tool Midjourney, will trigger much of the projected growth, techUK suggests. Saving the average worker 100 hours per year by automating many repetitive tasks. It isn’t clear what impact this will have on jobs generally. Still, while some predictions suggest many jobs could be lost as a result of automation, others believe artificial intelligence will have a positive impact on employment.

A study by the UN-backed International Labour Organisation (ILO) published in August found that tools like ChatGPT had a greater chance of augmenting existing roles by automation than eliminating vocations entirely. That is if policymakers put appropriate protections in place to counter the negatives. “Our study should not read as a calming voice, but rather as a call for harnessing policy to address the technological changes that are upon us,” it read.

TechUK’s report says that historically new technology and innovations have led to new opportunities and growth in the workforce. Over the past 80 years, more than 85% of employment growth can be attributed to technology and innovation, it says, and AI is unlikely to be any different. This will in part be due to the ability of AI to supplement the decline in the working-age population. 

Need to prepare for the AI-powered transition

Like the ILO, techUK says it will come down to how well the government performs in preparing the workforce for the changes ahead. This includes following a series of nine steps covering legislation, investment and support for small businesses. The first step is to ensure there is clear guidance in place on how existing laws apply to AI at work including data protection as well as health and safety legislation. There also needs to be an investment in training through incentives and a reform of the apprenticeship levy.

Taking training further, techUK has also urged the creation of a digital skills toolkit, an accreditation framework for modular courses and an industry placement scheme for prospective employees wanting to understand the value of AI. On top of this, there needs to be support for SMEs to adopt AI and legislation providing a right to request flexible and remote working from day one. 

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The next step is around changes in the labour market, specifically ensuring mechanisms are in place to predict and forecast the impact AI will have through a new independent commission on automation and emerging technologies.

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Promoting lifelong learning through a new flexible entitlement scheme to allow people to reskill later in life, as well as extending maintenance loans to distance learners are also on the list of essentials to reflect the change in workforce behaviour amid growing automation.

Outside of education, there is also a need for a collaborative regulatory environment to make it easier for stakeholders to address AI-related issues and greater support for local authorities as it addresses job losses and business change.

Antony Walker, deputy CEO of techUK, said this was the dawn of a new era. “A new generation of AI-enabled digital tools is rapidly emerging, with the ability to undertake tasks that could previously only be done by people,” he said. “These new tools will ultimately be applied across the economy, impacting all aspects of employment.”

“To deliver on the promise of AI, governments will need to build on existing efforts to improve digital skills and accelerate digital adoption by businesses,” Walker added.

Read more: AI without regulation puts workers at risk – TUC

Topics in this article : AI , techUK

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参考译文
到2030年,人工智能工具可能为英国经济增加4000亿英镑产值
到下个十年初,人工智能工具和自动化技术可能为英国经济贡献400亿英镑。这是英国科技行业组织techUK在一份最新报告中所作的预测,报告指出,这种贡献主要来自于生产率的提升。然而,报告警告称,人工智能的成功取决于政府能否提供明确的监管政策。techUK表示,人工智能工具将在人口老龄化背景下弥补劳动力的空缺。(摄影:Stokkete/Shutterstock)techUK发布的这份题为《让人工智能为英国服务》的报告指出,由于人工智能的变革性力量,未来的工作场所将与今天大不相同,并强调需要为人工智能时代带来的“挑战与机遇”做好准备。作者提出了九项步骤来实现这一目标,并确保国家为此做好准备。英国已经在人工智能领域处于领先地位,许多顶级实验室都在该国设有基地或办事处,包括谷歌的DeepMind、Anthropic和ChatGPT的开发者OpenAI。该国还试图通过11月即将召开的布莱切利人工智能安全峰会,巩固其在立法方面的领导地位。techUK表示,诸如ChatGPT背后技术以及图像生成工具Midjourney之类的生成式人工智能,将成为推动预期增长的主要力量。通过自动化许多重复性任务,每年可为平均工人节省100小时的工作时间。然而,这对就业整体的影响尚不明确。尽管一些预测认为,自动化可能导致大量工作岗位流失,但其他人则相信人工智能对就业将产生积极影响。8月份,联合国支持的国际劳工组织(ILO)发布的一项研究发现,像ChatGPT这样的工具,其自动化更可能增强现有岗位,而非完全消除职业。前提是政策制定者要出台适当的保护措施以应对负面影响。研究中提到:“我们的研究不应被视为一种安抚的声音,而应被视为一种呼吁,呼吁利用政策来应对我们面临的技术变革。”techUK的报告指出,历史上,新技术和创新往往带来了劳动力市场上新的机遇和增长。在过去80年中,超过85%的就业增长可归功于技术和创新,人工智能也不例外。这将在一定程度上归功于人工智能弥补劳动年龄人口减少的能力。为应对人工智能推动的变革做好准备techUK与ILO一样,认为关键在于政府在为即将到来的变革准备劳动力方面做得是否充分。这包括采取一系列涵盖立法、投资和扶持小型企业的九项步骤。第一步是确保就现有法律如何适用于工作场所的人工智能提供明确的指导,包括数据保护和健康与安全立法。还需要通过激励措施和学徒税的改革,加大对培训的投资。在培训方面,techUK还呼吁建立一个数字技能培训工具包、为模块化课程制定认证框架,以及为希望了解人工智能价值的潜在雇员提供行业实习计划。此外,还需对中小企业采用人工智能提供支持,并制定允许员工从第一天起就提出灵活和远程办公请求的立法。**内容合作伙伴提供** 混合策略将帮助分销商实现成功的客户体验 阿玛尔赛通过人工智能和自动化提高产量,同时减少浪费和成本 人工智能如何在保险业中释放宝贵机遇 下一步涉及劳动力市场的变革,特别是通过设立一个关于自动化和新兴技术的独立委员会,确保机制到位,以预测和预测人工智能的影响。**查看所有通讯** **注册我们的通讯** **数据、洞察与分析直达您手中** 由《The Tech Monitor》团队提供 **点击此处注册** 通过一项新的灵活培训计划推广终身学习,以允许人们在后期重新掌握技能,并将维持贷款扩展到远程学习者,这些举措也列在关键措施中,以反映劳动力行为在自动化日益加剧背景下的变化。除了教育,还需建立一个协作性的监管环境,以便利益相关者更容易解决与人工智能相关的问题,并对地方政府给予更多支持,以应对失业和企业转型问题。techUK副总裁安东尼·沃克表示,这标志着一个新时代的开始。“新一代基于人工智能的数字工具正在迅速出现,它们能够执行过去只能由人类完成的任务,”他表示。“这些新工具最终将应用于整个经济领域,影响就业的方方面面。”沃克补充道:“为了实现人工智能的承诺,政府需要在提高数字技能和加快企业数字化转型方面,继续现有的努力。”**阅读更多:** AI缺乏监管将使工人面临风险 —— TUC **本文涉及话题:** 人工智能(AI)、techUK
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